Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001811 0.001973 0.002148 0.002352 0.002584 0.002841 0.003149
2025-11-16 0.001617 0.001863 0.002149 0.002512 0.002966 0.003523 0.004272
2025-11-23 0.001477 0.001771 0.002134 0.002626 0.003291 0.004182 0.005515
2025-11-30 0.001340 0.001654 0.002060 0.002638 0.003469 0.004667 0.006631
2025-12-07 0.001208 0.001524 0.001945 0.002569 0.003510 0.004952 0.007507
2025-12-14 0.001111 0.001428 0.001863 0.002529 0.003579 0.005279 0.008530
2025-12-21 0.001021 0.001332 0.001768 0.002456 0.003580 0.005488 0.009391
2025-12-28 0.000914 0.001203 0.001614 0.002273 0.003374 0.005301 0.009421
2026-01-04 0.000841 0.001117 0.001516 0.002168 0.003284 0.005305 0.009849
2026-01-11 0.000794 0.001066 0.001465 0.002132 0.003306 0.005518 0.010804
2026-01-18 0.000757 0.001027 0.001430 0.002117 0.003363 0.005807 0.012040
2026-01-25 0.000813 0.001132 0.001627 0.002515 0.004249 0.008038 0.019636
2026-02-01 0.000788 0.001113 0.001629 0.002584 0.004537 0.009105 0.024975
2026-02-08 0.000747 0.001067 0.001585 0.002567 0.004650 0.009818 0.029921
2026-02-15 0.000724 0.001049 0.001586 0.002636 0.004969 0.011210 0.039637
2026-02-22 0.000693 0.001014 0.001554 0.002636 0.005131 0.012235 0.049478
2026-03-01 0.000654 0.000964 0.001490 0.002565 0.005106 0.012676 0.056895
2026-03-08 0.000622 0.000925 0.001445 0.002524 0.005151 0.013381 0.068021
2026-03-15 0.000590 0.000881 0.001387 0.002451 0.005099 0.013730 0.077520
2026-03-22 0.000544 0.000814 0.001282 0.002268 0.004727 0.012771 0.072830
2026-03-29 0.000512 0.000768 0.001215 0.002164 0.004555 0.012549 0.075968
2026-04-05 0.000492 0.000741 0.001181 0.002128 0.004566 0.013057 0.089083
2026-04-12 0.000475 0.000721 0.001158 0.002113 0.004635 0.013844 0.109689